In this article, I want to discuss what a simple moving
average is and how it can be used in your Forex trading to help you be more
profitable. Simple moving average or SMA for short is used as an indicator of
the current market sentiment.
An SMA can be appreciated by technical traders that like to
use indicators to give them a direction in the Forex market. A moving average
is just that, always moving. So, when looking at your chart, every new candle
will affect the MA.
So, for instance, let’s assume that you are using a 100
period SMA. That means that if you are looking at a daily chart it is giving
you the average of the last 100 days. So, then the next day will change that
average. This applies to the minute, hourly, or weekly chart.
Now where this technical indicator can help you in your
trading is the simple fact that a vast majority of traders use this tool as
well. So, if most traders are using the SMA and it appears to be trending up
then it would be fair to assume that most traders are going to go long or buy
which in turn will cause this pair to trend even higher till fear is reached
that the ceiling has been met.
I have already mentioned the 100-day moving average but the
200-day MA is also a very prominent technical indicator that is used by many
technical traders. So now we have the understanding that this is a rolling
average that is in constant motion.
Now other than the SMA, there is also the exponential moving
average which also takes the last certain periods into account however it uses
periods of time closer to present with more importance. This may be wanted by
many traders however not the majority. It’s a fact that when it comes to
technical analysis the simple moving average is used by more traders than any
other technical indicator.
So how do you use the SMA and what time frames are more
indicative of actual market movement?
1. As far as time frames are concerned the ones, I have
found to give me a good indication of market movement is the M15, hourly, and
daily time frames.
2. Next I use both the 100 and the 200-day moving averages
so I have signals of different strengths to give me an idea of how sure the market is in its direction. For example, if the market breaks through the
100-period moving average but I do not feel that the market is sure I can wait
till the 200 period MA has been broken.
Now I'm sure that as soon as you have these time frames on
your favourite trading platform with the 100 and 200-period simple moving
averages that you will be able to see how accurate it is and where you could
have made some profit.
So now I would like to encourage you to continue your
learning in Forex trading and keep the simple moving average in mind and
remember that it is just a rolling average.

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